Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
@jim 74%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Haz 25 18:55 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline (Florida) default in 2026
Manifold MarketsWalmart Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiWill Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?
KalshiWendy's Credit Card Spend in September
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketKurallar
This market offers credit default swaps (CDSs) on some of the richest and most influential Manifold users.
- Each answer represents a CDS for a specific borrower or loan.
- A CDS resolves Yes if the borrower is 45 days late on a loan payment due by the end of 2030.
- If the creditor grants an extension or forgives the loan, it will not be considered late.
- “Yes”, you’re predicting that the borrower will default on at least one loan by the end of 2030.
- “No”, you’re taking the (more likely) position that they will not default by then.
Açık piyasalar
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M97%
- $25M94%
- $50M87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+5.0pt54.5%
- 65-89+11.0pt37.6%
- 90-114+2.0pt5%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.5pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.1pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,3 Mn
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Manifold Credit Default swaps 2030 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla @jim için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Manifold Credit Default swaps 2030 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Manifold Credit Default swaps 2030 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Manifold Credit Default swaps 2030 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market offers credit default swaps (CDSs) on some of the richest and most influential Manifold users.