[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
İş Dünyası ve ŞirketlerMakro ve Ekonomi1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
34
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Kas 23 00:06 UTC18 Eyl 28 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiKurallar
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.
