Güncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2026-12-16 74.3%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis31 Ağu 26 14:57 UTC16 Ara 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
The '+' means any version at or above K3.1 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.1 and releases Kimi K3.2 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3.1, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-4.0pt58.2%
- ChatGPT-6.2pt21.4%
- Grok+0.4pt8.2%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺519,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+2.0pt57.3%
- 2026+15.5pt29%
- September 30, 2026+6.0pt13.7%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-2.5pt69.7%
- Moonshot-1.6pt25.3%
- Z.ai+1.6pt3%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- OpenAI market share this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Kimi K3.1+ (Moonshot) release date için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2026-12-16 için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Kimi K3.1+ (Moonshot) release date ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Kimi K3.1+ (Moonshot) release date için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Aralık 2026.
- Kimi K3.1+ (Moonshot) release date nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The '+' means any version at or above K3.1 counts: if Moonshot skips K3.1 and releases Kimi K3.2 or Kimi K4, that still counts for the purpose of this market.