Güncel topluluk tahmini
In-flight Raptor re-light by Q2 2025 100%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
20 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Eki 24 06:43 UTC2 Eyl 28 06:59 UTC
Trendler
100%
100%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out?
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This question is based on the following article by Eric Berger: https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/10/spacex-has-caught-a-massive-rocket-so-whats-next/.
- Please see the article for more specifics about the scenario of each milestone.
- Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has updated the resolution criteria based on user feedback.
- The timing requirements for milestones have been clarified to use "before" rather than "by" for at least the first three items, addressing whether deadlines refer to the start or end of specified time periods.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Is Eric Berger right about the future of Starship? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla In-flight Raptor re-light by Q2 2025 için 100% fiyatlıyor.
- Is Eric Berger right about the future of Starship? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Is Eric Berger right about the future of Starship? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Eylül 2028.
- Is Eric Berger right about the future of Starship? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This question is based on the following article by Eric Berger: https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/10/spacex-has-caught-a-massive-rocket-so-whats-next/.