Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiUS or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026 40.8%+2.4pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+2.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Eki 26 17:13 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on credible reporting from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg), official military/government statements, or verified satellite imagery analysis from established nonpartisan monitoring organizations (e.g., CSIS, ISIS).
- Any user may add new answers.
- For each listed option, the criteria are defined as follows:
- the named outcome:
