Güncel topluluk tahmini
2026 91%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
143
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
18 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 May 24 16:25 UTC1 Oca 31 22:59 UTC
Trendler
0.4%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Manifold MarketsTesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Condition for resolving this market:
- At least 10000 commercial rides have happened
- Tesla's robotaxi is available to the general public in the US.
- So not behind a waitlist.
- The robotaxis are fully driverless and FSD.
- The type of car doesn’t matter nor if it has a steering wheel.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2026 için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Condition for resolving this market: