In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark?
17.2 puan (24s)YZOne-Off13yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2026-2027 97.6%+17.2pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+17.2 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Haz 25 5:301 Oca 40 23:59
Trendler
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Kurallar
We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.
- The questions cover most major branches of modern mathematics -- from computationally intensive problems in number theory and real analysis to abstract questions in algebraic geometry and category theory.
- Solving a typical problem requires multiple hours of effort from a researcher in the relevant branch of mathematics, and for the upper end questions, multiple days.
- FrontierMath uses new, unpublished problems and automated verification to reliably evaluate models while minimizing risk of data contamination.
- Current state-of-the-art AI models solve under 2% of problems, revealing a vast gap between AI capabilities and the prowess of the mathematical community.
- As AI systems advance toward expert-level mathematical abilities, FrontierMath offers a rigorous testbed that quantifies their progress.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2026-2027 için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2040.
- In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.