Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini2027 62.3%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Tem 25 18:02 UTC1 Oca 33 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
The GSO (Global Software Optimization) benchmark tests whether large-language-model agents can act like real performance engineers.
- It extracts 102 optimisation tasks from the commit histories of 10 production code-bases spanning C, C++, Rust, Go, Java, and Python.
- For each task the agent receives the full repo, a correctness test-suite, and a runtime profiler, then must submit a single patch that (i) keeps all tests green and (ii) reaches ≥ 95 % of the speed-up achieved by the human expert commit.
- The headline metric, Opt @ 1, is simply the fraction of tasks cleared on the very first try; no retries, no cherry-picking.
- All patches are rebuilt and timed in a sandbox so scores are reproducible and publicly displayed on the GSO leaderboard.
- State of play (July 2025)
Açık piyasalar
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
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+3 daha fazla sonuç
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
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+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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+9 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027 için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.
- In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The GSO (Global Software Optimization) benchmark tests whether large-language-model agents can act like real performance engineers.