Güncel topluluk tahmini
2025-2030 98.6%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Mar 24 04:13 UTC2 Oca 60 02:59 UTC
Trendler
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot beat an Olympic table tennis gold medalist before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot beat a ranked top #10 tennis player by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiTop Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiKurallar
Market will resolve...
- YES if a robot with the characteristics given below defeats the current olympic champion at their sport within the detailed time intervals.
- NO if humans are still undefeated within the given time intervals.
- OTHER if an unexpected situation happens.
- The idea is for the robot to be physically similar to a human so the competition is fair.
- It must abide to the following limitations (which I'm open to changing, if given a good reason), as to make the competition fair.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺151,2 Mn
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+49.0pt93%
- Philadelphia-50.0pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺135,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺133,6 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt8%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Sara Sorribes Tormo76%
- Cadence Brace24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺116,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺107 Mn
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz77.2%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt22.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺104 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺94,3 Mn
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Baltimore5.7%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺88,8 Mn
Sık sorulan sorular
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2025-2030 için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2060.
- In what year will a humanoid robot beat an olympic champion at their sport? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Market will resolve...