Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 13:07 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahmini2027 51.2%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+9.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Haz 26 16:44 UTC1 Şub 31 04:59 UTC
Trendler
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.