In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday?
One-OffJeopolitik1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 93%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Şub 23 18:49 UTC2 Şub 28 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Doomsday Clock be between 76-83 seconds to Midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow much time before midnight on Doomsday Clock in 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Update to the Doomsday Clock
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock
- The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, who make the famous Doomsday Clock, thinks (or claims to think) humanity is now closer to global catastrophe than at any point since 1947*.
- I find this rather hard to believe.
- What does Manifold think? Is a catastrophe coming?
- I don't know how they define "catastrophe", so I'll leave it up to them! I'll count it as a catastrophe if the Bulletin says it's a catastrophe -- that is, if they say that "Doomsday" has come.
- * More precisely, that we thought we were at any point since 1947
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.1pt98%
- September 25-8.0pt84%
- September 30-6.5pt75%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺60,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+3.0pt13%
- September 30+1.5pt4%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt60%
- October 31+4.0pt36%
- September 30+1.5pt10%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 3196%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+8.0pt75%
- Toplam Hacim
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Şubat 2028.
- In the next five years, will the people who make the Doomsday Clock declare Doomsday? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock