The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
The full text is: "In 2029, AI will not be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen (extending Steve Wozniak’s cup of coffee benchmark)."
Judgment will be by me, not Gary Marcus.
Ambiguous whether this means start or end of 2029, so I have set it for the end.
Update 2025-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The AI can perform about as well as a good human cook in most kitchens
It does not require the kitchen to be reorganized for its use
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) için güncel oranlar nedir?
Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 57% fiyatlıyor.
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things