Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 67.5%
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28
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
33 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 23 22:05 UTC6 Kas 28 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How many felonies will Trump be convicted of by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Bibi Netanyahu be convicted or admit wrongdoing in any of his trials?
Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketKurallar
Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.
- But will they actually do so?
- Resolves to N/A if all of Trump's investigations are closed without convictions.
- Resolves yes if Trump has been pardoned by the president by the 2028 election day.
- Resolves no if Trump has not been pardoned by the time.
- If the pardon is challenged by the courts, this will resolve yes regardless.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺115,1 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-30.3pt52.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.5pt46.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺22,1 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt10%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺813 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 68% fiyatlıyor.
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Kasım 2028.
- If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.