If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65.7%
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ağu 25 18:33 UTC31 Ağu 28 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)