KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Jan 1, 2030 34.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
Before Jan 1, 2030 34.5%Piyasa kalitesi
32 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$11 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Piyasa verileri
31 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Ağu 26 01:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Jan 1, 2030
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kurallar
If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Zohran MamdaniThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Mayor of New York CityCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An acknowledgment that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani leaves as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
