If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
YZOne-OffManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 66.4%
Tahminciler
45
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Haz 24 16:07 UTC1 Oca 00 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketKurallar
Artificial superintelligence (ASI) here means any artificial intelligence able to carry out any cognitive task better than 100% of the unenhanced biological human population.
- Torture here means intentionally inflicting involuntary extreme suffering, unignorable to the victim, for more than 10% of a period longer than 1 minute.
- This is counterfactual to the perpetrator existing but taking no action, so it must be new suffering created, inaction and trade-offs for the unambiguous greater good don't count e.g. making someone upset by not being their best friend.
- In addition to unconditional torture, this includes punishment, such as for crimes, or for refusing orders.
- In addition, I mean the ASI independently and unilaterally deciding to do it, not being ordered by humans.
- Human-level-intelligence here means any conscious mind with equal or greater hedonic valence than the bottom 1% of the unenhanced biological human population.