If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
0.1 puan (24s)One-OffYZ
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
M. "We'll make the AI do our AI alignment homework" just works as a plan. (Eg the helping AI doesn't need to be smart enough to be deadly; the alignment proposals that most impress human judges are honest and truthful and successful.) 17.2%-0.1pt18 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+3.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Haz 23 18:46 UTC1 Oca 01 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Why will "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" resolve N/A?
Manifold MarketsIf Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Manifold MarketsIf Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Duplicate of https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence except you're allowed to short options
- [link preview]