If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 23 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 69.7% fiyatlıyor.

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2150.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Wikipedia article for the Carrington Event

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23 Eki 2026 06:21 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 69.7%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

13 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

12 Haz 24 20:44 UTC2 Oca 50 07:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Wikipedia article for the Carrington Event

For the sake of the question, "another Carrington Event" is defined as a storm with a Dst of -1000 nT hitting the Earth.
Resolution criteria (provisional):
If I'm ever able to resolve this market after another Carrington Event happens, then this market will be resolved YES as soon as that happens.
Otherwise, this market won't resolve until there's a clear consensus about what the hypothetical result would be in the case of another Carrington Event (currently there isn't, as far as I'm aware).
In that case, at least one Manifold poll with a majority vote would have to pass before me deciding to resolve this market.