Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: 14 or more (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 30 Haz 2026 11:21
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
14 or more
7 gün kala
64%
24 saat kala
99%
KonsensüsGüncel topluluk tahmini14 or more 99%+1.0pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
26 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 May 26 16:0430 Haz 26 11:21
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
8 or fewer0.6%
90.6%
100.7%
110.9%
122.6%
130.2%
14 or more76.8%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· 14 or more
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
38 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim₺130,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺34,8 Mn
KALSHI
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsKapalı
Sonuçlandı
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
25 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺2,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺205,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.