Güncel topluluk tahmini
5 or more 27%+1.5%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
60
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce guncellendi
2 Ağu 25 1:1331 Ara 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
5 or more27%
Platformları karşılaştır· 3 or more
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%82 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 51% | — | ₺46,4 B | ₺759,5 B | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Polymarket%82 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 67% | — | ₺40,1 B | ₺865,3 B | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Kalshi%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Düşük | 88% | — | ₺0 | ₺124,5 B | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Limitless%82 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 66% | — | ₺0 | ₺0 | 10 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 89% | — | — | — | 10 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
7.5%5ay
+7.5%67%
-5.5%19%
-0.6%11%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺23,2 Mn
24s Hacim₺40,1 B
POLYMARKETKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5ay
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
52 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadOrta likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺1,2 Mn
24s Hacim₺46,4 B
KALSHILimitless üzerinde de mevcut
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5ay
65.9%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺1,2 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5ay
88%
71%
38%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim₺158,3 B
24s Hacim₺0
KALSHIKurallar
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$1.3k8 Tem17g veri26 Tem
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Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO early if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2026 start/end