Güncel topluluk tahmini
8 or fewer 44%+8.9pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+29.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Ağu 26 8:3130 Eyl 26 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Açık piyasalar
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above+6.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+4.0pt99%
- $73,000 or above+2.0pt99%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺145,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺66,1 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 11pm EDT?
- $80,300 or above99%
- $80,200 or above99%
- $80,000 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺54 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 220-239+44.0pt54.5%
- 200-219+17.0pt39.6%
- 240-259+3.4pt5%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+71.0pt95.2%
- 76° to 77°-58.0pt1%
- 80° or above-2.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 3, 2026?
- Philadelphia+9.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+27.0pt99%
- Miami+21.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺24 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-13.5pt72.7%
- OpenAI+15.3pt24.2%
- Google-1.2pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 3, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Sık sorulan sorular
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 8 or fewer için 44% fiyatlıyor.
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=