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Guncelligini yitirmis25 Nis 23 03:04 UTC31 Ara 29 14:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
LimitlessKurallar
I'm considering the first IFT "Not Successful", in that it didn't insert Starship into a near-orbital trajectory.
- Even though personally I think it was a successful data gathering flight.
- The guiding principle for success is something like "Did this flight prove to customers their payload will go where they want it to go?".
- Essentially, will SpaceX make 500 launches that a customer would consider proves satisfactory reliability and safety of the system by Jan 1st 2030.
- Clarified criteria:
- A "successful launch" means any launch in which:
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺77,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺76,3 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°-2.0pt28.7%
- 90° or above+11.0pt26.7%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt25.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+9.0pt31.7%
- 160-179-2.0pt21.1%
- 200-219+5.0pt21.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺14,6 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- SpaceX'in Starship Superheavy fırlatma aracı 1 Ocak 2030'a kadar 500 toplam başarılı fırlatmaya ulaşacak mı? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- SpaceX'in Starship Superheavy fırlatma aracı 1 Ocak 2030'a kadar 500 toplam başarılı fırlatmaya ulaşacak mı? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- SpaceX'in Starship Superheavy fırlatma aracı 1 Ocak 2030'a kadar 500 toplam başarılı fırlatmaya ulaşacak mı? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- SpaceX'in Starship Superheavy fırlatma aracı 1 Ocak 2030'a kadar 500 toplam başarılı fırlatmaya ulaşacak mı? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I'm considering the first IFT "Not Successful", in that it didn't insert Starship into a near-orbital trajectory.