How many people and organizations will win a 2026 Nobel Prize, all six prizes combined?
One-OffÖdüllerManifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: 11 or fewer (98.8%)
Sonuçlandı: 12 Eki 2026 16:58
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
12 Eki 2026 18:04 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
11 or fewer98.8%
120.3%
130.3%
140.3%
15 or more0.2%
Kazandı
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
Kaybetti
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How many laureates will receive the six 2026 Nobel Prizes combined (Physiology or Medicine, Physics, Chemistry, Literature, Peace, and the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences)? Resolution: I count every laureate (person OR organization) listed for the 2026 prizes on nobelprize.org (the official Nobel Foundation site / its API at api.nobelprize.org).
- Each laureate counts once per prize.
- If a prize is not awarded in 2026, it contributes 0.
- Announcement schedule: Medicine Mon Oct 5, Physics Tue Oct 6, Chemistry Wed Oct 7, Literature Thu Oct 8, Peace Fri Oct 9, Economics Mon Oct 12.
- The market closes shortly before the Economics announcement and resolves once all six are announced.
- Reference, from the Nobel API: 2016: 11 · 2017: 12 · 2018: 13 · 2019: 14 · 2020: 12 · 2021: 13 · 2022: 14 · 2023: 11 · 2024: 12 · 2025: 14.