How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029?
Jeopolitik2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini100 or fewer 31.4%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Mar 25 23:37 UTC1 Şub 29 23:59 UTC
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For context, as far as I can tell, even under the first Trump administration fewer than 100 denaturalization cases were even filed much less resulted in actual denaturalization.
- So the higher-numbered categories in this question would represent a very large increase.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
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- ₺31,7 Mn
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- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
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- ₺542,2 Mn
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- ₺14,5 Mn
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- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
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- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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- July 22+0.5pt100%
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KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 100 or fewer için 31% fiyatlıyor.
- How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2029.
- How many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: For context, as far as I can tell, even under the first Trump administration fewer than 100 denaturalization cases were even filed much less resulted in actual denaturalization.