Güncel topluluk tahmini
1.295 degrees Celsius or more 87.1%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+31.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Eyl 26 10:12 UTC14 Oca 27 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Global Average Temperature August 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold MarketsGlobal Average Temperature Sept 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold MarketsWill the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
Manifold MarketsConsecutive days of average temperature in San Antonio above 90°F - week of Sep 7, 2026
KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Oklahoma City above 90°F - week of Sep 7, 2026
KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Las Vegas above 90°F - week of Sep 7, 2026
KalshiKurallar
Details of data is currently at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
- with a txt file with the data at data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
- (or such updated location or updated version for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
- For this annual market, it is the J-D column for 2026 when that is shown after Dec 2026 data has been published.
- More options can be added but please keep these sensible.
- January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
Açık piyasalar
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 1.295 degrees Celsius or more için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 14 Ocak 2027.
- Global Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Details of data is currently at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/