Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiSome current (2025) occupations, though, will no longer exist. 89.5%9 seçenek arasında lider
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Gary Marcus's Brier Score of 2024+2025 predictions be lower than 0.50 by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsGary Marcus 2026 AI Predictions
Manifold MarketsWill at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?
Manifold MarketsWill Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketKurallar
For his 2024 predictions, his own resolutions are somewhat debatable.
- So I will try to resolve this by "general consensus" of some sort.
- As that is not super well-defined, I will not be betting.