Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 27 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 82.9% fiyatlıyor.

Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Foreign military intervention in Namibia in the next ten years? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 8 Ocak 2033.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 82.9%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Tahmin

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4 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

8 Oca 23 18:43 UTC8 Oca 33 23:59 UTC

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Resolves to YES if, according to a credible variety of international news media, any foreign military intervenes in Namibia in the next ten years.

"Intervention" could be declaration of war, invasion, bombing, etc. I am asking this question because oil was recently discovered in Namibia; a cynic might feel that the discovery of oil makes military action more likely (whether its stated purpose is related to oil or not).
Resolution of the market does not care what is the purpose of the intervention, only whether an intervention occurs or not.