Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

₺277,4 B

Google: 14.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

₺103,1 B

Evet: 6%

POLYMARKET

Best AI at the end of 2026?

₺22,4 B

Claude: 67%

KALSHI

Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

₺4,8 B

Evet: 53.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

₺3,7 B

Evet: 89.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

₺335,3

xAI: 16%

KALSHI

First year a specific AI model/framework is named as Time's Person of the Year