Güncel topluluk tahmini
03 Grok 5 released before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027 80%22 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+30.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
37 dakika önce guncellendi
19 Ağu 26 13:4831 Ara 28 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Generally I am excluding Starship projects because I have a Starship megamarket at @/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket
- Feel free to suggest other projects that might be added.
- Market clarifications 01 Cybercab is any Tesla 2 seater vehicle i.e. doesn't matter if called different things in different places.
- Operating means autonomously without any Tesla safety monitor or driver in vehicles.
- Less than 10 is just testing, 10 or more operating is needed to be considered operating.
- Robotaxi means available for public hire.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺73,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,3 Mn
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97.5%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,3 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺440,6 Mn
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Elon projects dates megamarket için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla 03 Grok 5 released before 20270401 i.e.01 April 2027 için 80% fiyatlıyor.
- Elon projects dates megamarket ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Elon projects dates megamarket için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Elon projects dates megamarket nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Generally I am excluding Starship projects because I have a Starship megamarket at @/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket