If Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimJeopolitik2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 89.7%
Tahminciler
35
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ağu 23 17:27 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Trump becomes president will his administration regulate or ban AR-15 style rifles?
Manifold MarketsWill Valerii Zaluzhnyi ever be reinstated as the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketKurallar
The commander-in-chief of the US Army is the president, and this is basically meant to be an objective measure of the US presidency that would work even if the legal/formal power works differently in the future.
- If I understand correctly, Donald Trump would mainly remain president if he overthrows the current democratic system in some way?
- I assume it might lead to some sort of fracturing, so I will specifically consider the largest fragment of the military.
- Resolution criteria
- As a big picture, in order for this market to resolve:
- Donald Trump must become president during 2024-2028, otherwise the market resolves N/A.
