Did the USA missile sites in Okinawa receive erroneous orders to launch their nuclear missiles during the cold war?
JeopolitikOne-OffSatrançRusya / UkraynaSpor13y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 50%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Şub 23 22:16 UTC1 Oca 40 08:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
https://gizmodo.com/another-day-another-story-about-how-america-almost-sta-1738998649
- If true, this is another narrowly avoided nuclear war incident similar to those involving Stanislav Petrov and Vasily Arkhipov.
- (And it would be the only such case where the USA was responsible for the order rather than Russia.)
- But this account of things is contested, and the Bulletin of Atomic Scentists appears to have quietly deleted their original article on the subject.
- Resolves once enough information is declassified or otherwise comes to light for us to know with high confidence whether the described incident occurred.
- (This can still resolve YES if some details of Bordne's account were wrong, such as the exact date or people involved.)
