Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 53.4%
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26
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Ağu 26 19:19 UTC25 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
KalshiWill Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWill an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves yes if over 50% of the pixels in Coca-Cola's most widely broadcast Christmas Commercial are generated by an AI model.
- Update 2026-08-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be determined by:
- Official reporting or company statements
- Subjective judgment of the creator and others regarding the commercial's appearance, if no official sources are available
- Update 2026-08-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If the determination feels close, the creator will err on the side of resolving YES.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+55.0pt66%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
- claude-opus-5-high4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,7 Mn
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.2pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.9pt25%
- Grok-2.0pt6.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺510,9 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt89%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+24.0pt76%
- 2027+21.0pt44%
- 2026+6.0pt12%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt78%
- ChatGPT+3.0pt13.8%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,1 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt68%
- 1490+-4.0pt51%
- 1500+-1.5pt30%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 25 Aralık 2026.
- Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves yes if over 50% of the pixels in Coca-Cola's most widely broadcast Christmas Commercial are generated by an AI model.