Güncel topluluk tahmini
None of these options 50.7%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Ağu 26 02:00 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
Manifold MarketsDemis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves NO for the given option if Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.
- Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs).
- Job titles don’t matter.
- Part-time advisory alongside outside ventures counts as YES.
- Resolves YES immediately if he leaves before then.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+9.0pt56.9%
- 2027+3.5pt33%
- 2026+4.0pt10.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9 Mn
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-5.0pt69%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max-3.0pt3%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-0.5pt84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.1pt59.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt25%
- Grok+0.6pt7.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺512,2 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt66%
- 1490+-5.0pt56%
- 1500+-0.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla None of these options için 51% fiyatlıyor.
- By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- By when will Demis Hassabis leave Google? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves NO for the given option if Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.