Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 87.4%
Tahminciler
55
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Şub 23 17:03 UTC30 Ara 30 21:29 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?
Manifold MarketsWill a significant AI generated meme occur before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill a top-20 Super Bowl advertiser air a primarily AI-generated commercial during Super Bowl LXI (Feb 2027)?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 19, 2026?
Kalshi#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiKurallar
If there is a song created primarily by a ML/AI system that's present in the year-end top 100 list by billboard, for any year till 2031, then this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.
- Evidence for the song being significantly AI-generated can be an official blog-post by the group that created that song, or in the song credits, statements by publishing entities, etc.
Açık piyasalar
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+37.0pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-38.0pt23.8%
- <940m-0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,6 Mn
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt63%
- Jack Barton-3.0pt18%
- Callum Turner-13.0pt14%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺100,8 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+33.8pt50.5%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt15.2%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt11.4%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.5%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺226,2 Mn
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-14.0pt68.3%
- Yes+14.0pt31.7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt99%
- Above 55+1.0pt99%
- Above 4599%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
- Post Malone: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
Sık sorulan sorular
- By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Aralık 2030.
- By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If there is a song created primarily by a ML/AI system that's present in the year-end top 100 list by billboard, for any year till 2031, then this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.