[tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.
Someone have any good suggestions? For now I've got this:
If PPE or HALO is never launched, the date of that decision counts.
If PPE and HALO are both launched, the date of the decision to never send humans there anymore counts.
(https://manifold.markets/embed/Mqrius/before-when-will-sls-be-cancelled-Q00SAhqLc9)Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
If Gateway is launched into any orbit around the moon (not just NRHO), it still counts as Gateway
Sık sorulan sorular
Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? için güncel oranlar nedir?
Manifold Markets, 3 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2027 için 98% fiyatlıyor.
Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: [tweet]Not sure how to define the criteria on this since it consists of many different components.