Before 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
YZOne-Off2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.5%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Eyl 25 21:56 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
OpenAI released this paper arguing that one of the reasons LLMs hallucinate is because their post training incentives them to guess when they don't know the answer to a question.
- They suggest penalizing LLMs for answering a question incorrectly instead of claiming ignorance.
- https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.04664
- Resolves yes if OpenAI (or an OpenAI employee) claims a Frontier Model released by them was trained using this technique.
