At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?

Sık sorulan sorular

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 80.5% fiyatlıyor.

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2028.

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A duplicate of @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-gary-marcus-still-be-a, with the ban on "bizarre hacking like tricks" removed and clearer resolution criteria.

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Bu piyasa için ücretsiz JSON, API anahtarı gerekmez:

Yapay zeka ajanları: CoinRithm MCP sunucusunda pm_data_event aracını çağırın:

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 202814%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

Toplam Hacim

₺21,6 Mn

24s Hacim

₺3,6 Mn

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt50%
• Gemini-2.0pt36%
• ChatGPT8.3%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.7pt90.8%
• Anthropic-2.0pt8.2%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.4pt18.3%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 600T tokens56.5%
• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt99.5%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
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• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
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• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?