Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies
One-OffMiddle EastJeopolitik3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.3%
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27
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1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli2 Mar 26 04:43 UTC1 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, between now and December 31, 2026, the Assembly of Experts is hit by a US or Israeli attack and at least one cleric member dies as a result.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) confirming both the attack on the Assembly and at least one confirmed death of a member.
- The market resolves NO if no such attack occurs by the deadline, or if an attack occurs but no members are killed.
- The Assembly of Experts is the deliberative body empowered to appoint the Supreme Leader of Iran.
- The Assembly consists entirely of Shiite clerics who are popularly elected every eight years and whose candidacies are approved by the Guardian Council.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria