Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83.4%
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9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Nis 26 01:24 UTC21 Oca 31 02:17 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
PolymarketRussian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028?
FutuurKurallar
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.
- Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat.
- Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity.
- Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-0.9pt9.9%
- Google+0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺126,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- September 30-3.5pt85%
- Successful splash down?+1.0pt84%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes97%
- No3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺8,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-4.0pt86%
- Above 9-23.0pt48%
- Above 10-13.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 21 Ocak 2031.
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.