Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 25 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 59.3% fiyatlıyor.

Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 59.3%

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Soru türü

binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

1 saat önce güncellendi

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15 Oca 26 00:40 UTC20 Oca 29 11:59 UTC

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Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES if any Senate-confirmed member of the US Cabinet (Vice President, and the heads of the 15-at-the-time-of-writing executive departments; but anyone serving as Acting Secretary without being confirmed to the position doesn't count) is impeached by the House of Representatives during Trump's 2025-2029 presidential term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House.
The market resolves NO if no Cabinet member is impeached by the end of the presidential term.
Cabinet secretary impeachment is rare, with only two secretaries having ever been impeached by the House—both were acquitted by the Senate and neither lost their positions.
The two impeached cabinet secretaries were former War Secretary William Belknap in 1876 and Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas in 2024.