Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel topluluk tahmini≥$0.8T 100%9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
27 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Nis 26 3:491 Tem 26 3:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
≥$0.8T95.5%
≥$0.9T90.9%
≥$1T3.1%
≥$1.1T2.1%
≥$1.25T2.3%
≥$1.5T1.9%
≥$1.75T1.5%
≥$2T4.5%
≥$2.5T2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· ≥$0.8T
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%85 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺306,1 B | ₺0 | 25 gün önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 100% | — | — | — | 27 gün önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Kapalı
+9.9pt100%
+12.6pt100%
+66.5pt100%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
18 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺24,2 Mn
24s Hacim₺306,1 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).