Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 15:41 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97.7%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Tem 25 03:51 UTC31 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiWill the America party run a candidate in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if a candidate from the America Party wins any election in the 2026 U.S. midterms at the federal, state, or local level.
- A "NO" resolution occurs if no America Party candidate secures such a position.
- If Elon Musk's political party operates under a different name but meets the same criteria, the market will still resolve to "YES." However, if Musk assumes control of an existing party, such as the Reform or Forward Party, without establishing a new party, this will not count towards a "YES" resolution.
