Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
PolitikaOne-OffHava DurumuABD SiyasetiSeçim2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98.2%
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Tem 25 21:51 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any newly elected representatives be denied a seat in congress?
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiAmerica party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a third party candidate officially affiliated with the America Party is officially declared the winner of a seat in the U.S. Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate; federal US Congress only) in the 2026 elections.
- Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or the respective state election authorities will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no America Party candidate wins a congressional seat in 2026, the market will resolve to "No."
- The candidate should not be a nominee for the Republican or Democratic Party, so if a candidate informally identifies as "America Party" but is a Republican or Democratic Party nominee, their win will not be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes".
- The America Party, founded by Elon Musk, aims to influence U.S. politics by focusing on key swing states and competitive congressional districts.
