Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
2028-01-01 72%6 seçenek arasında lider
2028-01-01 72%Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Tem 24 06:55 UTC2 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Options are inclusive: if this happens tomorrow then all options resolve to YES.
- This market will of course resolve somewhat subjectively.
- The overall idea is "there is a model that can do (technical part of) the job of a senior ML engineer.
- This is the job they do in 2024, not the job we call "senior ML engineer" at market resolution (so it's fine if all the ML engineers stay employed doing something slightly different).
- It's also only the technical portions - there's no requirement that the AI be able to make beautiful presentations or write long scientific reports.
- Some example tasks I expect it to be able to do:
