Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOracle 100%21 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
160
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+1.6 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Kas 25 17:14 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
AI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble pops in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI Bubble (props)
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Is there an AI bubble? Which AI companies are going to drop when the bubble pops?
- Add your own companies, preferably at least loosely AI related
- Peak doesn’t have to be in 2026.
- Any 60% drop from ATH qualifies
- [cleaned up description as none of the pre-2026 stuff is relevant anymore]
- Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Price measurement: Resolution will use close prices only (not intraday prices) when determining if a company has dropped >60% from its peak.