[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçimYZ2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiAny Trump family member 80.3%16 seçenek arasında lider
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Gecikmeli3 Ara 25 17:09 UTC21 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Anyone who receives a presidential pardon or commutation after 12/3/2025 but before Donald Trump leaves power
- Update 2025-12-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market covers pardons issued after 12/3/2025 (starting 12/4/2025).
- The Cuellar pardon on 12/3/2025 does not count for this market, as it occurred before the market's coverage period began.
- Update 2026-01-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Puerto Rico officials do not count as state-level officials for the purposes of this market, as Puerto Rico is not a state.
- Update 2026-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term state-level is used to differentiate from local-level or federal-level and does not apply to state-like entities.
