Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 63.7%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Mar 26 05:35 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a general-purpose CHERI CPU ship ≥10,000 units by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a publicly available AI with Anthropic Mythos-level capabilities before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketKurallar
Publicly available: Must be available to normal users (paid ok) at some point before 2027.
- General purpose: This is based on advertising and positioning of the model.
- GPT-5.3-Codex would not count because it's positioned as a Codex-specific model, as evidenced by its exclusive availability within Codex.
- GPT-5.2 would count.
- In general if the model is released within a chatbot, that's sufficient to make it general purpose.
- Major AI Labs: For this market, this list includes OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, and DeepSeek.
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+11.0pt59.8%
- 202730.8%
- 2026+3.0pt9.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+8.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt59%
- ChatGPT+2.4pt26.7%
- Gemini+0.3pt5.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺513,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt78.4%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12.6%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-2.5pt53%
- 1500+-1.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 64% fiyatlıyor.
- A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- A publicly available, general purpose LLM from a major AI lab is advertised with robotics capabilities before 2027 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Publicly available: Must be available to normal users (paid ok) at some point before 2027.