Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
15 Eki 2026 15:23 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiMarket chaos 69.2%19 seçenek arasında lider
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37
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
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4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Tem 25 23:03 UTC4 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
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This is intended to capture whether any of the weird edge cases surround the election and seating of the next Congress come to pass, especially focused on things that might cause other markets to resolve in unexpected or apparently contradictory ways.
- These scenarios cover Congressional elections only; State or local elections are not included.
- Details where they might be needed:
- The start of the term is Noon on Jan 3rd, 2027.
- The first day is the actual first day -- Jan 3rd, or later if so decided by law.
- Major news organizations: AP, CNN, Fox, ABC, CBS, NBC.
