KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
At least 35% 78%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺9,7 B
Likidite
₺9,7 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Eyl 26 23:00 UTC20 Eyl 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share?
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KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 35%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least 35% için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Eylül 2027.
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.