KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSağlayıcı tarafından piyasa piyasa sonuçlandırıldı
Sonuçlandı: 30 Eyl 2026 18:38
Bu etkinliğin tek bir kazananı yok. Sağlayıcı her piyasayı ayrı ayrı sonuçlandırdı; her piyasa kendi sonucunu gösteriyor.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
30 Eyl 2026 18:35 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
At least 5%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 13%1%
At least 11%1%
At least 5%Kaybetti
At least 7%Kaybetti
At least 9%Kaybetti
At least 11%Kaybetti
At least 13%Kaybetti
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Arşivlenmiş etkinlik düzeyi kurallar. Her sonucun kesin şartları artık mevcut değil.
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
